Weather

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING... The National Weather Service in Lubbock has issued a Dense Fog Advisory, which is in effect until 11 AM CDT this morning. * VISIBILITY...Less than 1/4 mile, with near zero visibility at times. * IMPACTS...If driving, be prepared for abrupt changes in Dense Fog Advisory 2018-10-23T02:11:00-05:00 2018-10-23T11:00:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Minor Likely Bailey; Cochran; Crosby; Floyd; Garza; Hale; Hockley; Lamb; Lubbock; Lynn; Terry; Yoakum FIPS6 048017 048079 048107 048153 048169 048189 048219 048279 048303 048305 048445 048501 UGC TXZ027 TXZ028 TXZ029 TXZ030 TXZ033 TXZ034 TXZ035 TXZ036 TXZ039 TXZ040 TXZ041 TXZ042 VTEC /O.NEW.KLUB.FG.Y.0006.181023T0711Z-181023T1600Z/

...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT ALONG THE PORTIONS OF THE OUTER COAST TONIGHT... A rapidly developing low pressure system west of Washington State will move north to the north central gulf by Tuesday morning. High winds with the associated front will sweep north along the outer coast beginning late this evening and reach the northeast High Wind Warning 2018-10-22T22:49:00-08:00 2018-10-23T06:00:00-08:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Severe Likely Cape Decision to Salisbury Sound Coastal Area; Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision Coastal Area; Inner Channels from Kupreanof Island to Etolin Island FIPS6 002195 002198 002220 002275 UGC AKZ023 AKZ026 AKZ027 VTEC /O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-181023T1400Z/

...HIGH WINDS TONIGHT ALONG THE PORTIONS OF THE OUTER COAST TONIGHT... A rapidly developing low pressure system west of Washington State will move north to the north central gulf by Tuesday morning. High winds with the associated front will sweep north along the outer coast beginning late this evening and reach the northeast High Wind Warning 2018-10-22T22:49:00-08:00 2018-10-23T16:00:00-08:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Severe Likely Cape Fairweather to Cape Suckling Coastal Area FIPS6 002282 UGC AKZ017 VTEC /O.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0011.181023T1400Z-181024T0000Z/

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0144 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018 Valid 241200Z - 251200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper-level jet max will begin to nose into the Pacific Northwest on Wednesday as ridging starts to build along the West Coast. By the end of the Day 2 period (i.e., Thursday morning), northwesterly flow aloft is forecast to overspread the Great Basin. In response at the surface, high pressure will begin to develop over the Intermountain West, leading to the onset of offshore low-level flow across southern California. While afternoon surface conditions over inland portions of southern California will be dry (RH values around 15%), confidence is too low in the development of strong offshore flow to highlight elevated fire weather conditions at this time. ..Jirak.. 10/23/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0142 AM CDT Tue Oct 23 2018 Valid 231200Z - 241200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... An upper-level shortwave trough will approach the Pacific Northwest coast during the day and lift northeastward overnight into British Columbia. While enhanced midlevel and low-level flow will accompany this trough, locations with a dry boundary layer (i.e., afternoon surface RH values falling below 20%) across central/southern Oregon, northeastern California, and northwestern Nevada will only experience a modest increase in low-level flow. Given the relatively weak surface pressure gradient across the area, sustained winds will likely remain below 15 mph, limiting the overall fire weather concerns. ..Jirak.. 10/23/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM AKDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Snow and possible freezing rain above 2800 feet. Additional snow accumulations of up to 3 inches. Freezing rain developing with up to a tenth of an inch accumulations possible by morning. Winter Weather Advisory 2018-10-22T22:44:00-08:00 2018-10-23T13:00:00-08:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Minor Likely Taiya Inlet and Klondike Highway FIPS6 002230 UGC AKZ018 VTEC /O.CON.PAJK.WW.Y.0028.000000T0000Z-181023T2100Z/

000
AXNT20 KNHC 230545
TWDAT

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
205 AM EDT Tue Oct 23 2018

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

An tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean is south of 20N along
68W, moving west at 10-15 kt. Total Precipitable Water imagery
shows moderate to high moisture content in the wave environment.
Scattered moderate convection is noted inland south of 12N,
affecting northern Venezuela.

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough is primarily inland over central Africa, with
scatterometer data showing the eastern extent of the ITCZ near
09N19W, continuing westward across the Atlantic to the coast of
South America near 11N67W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is within 45 nm of the axis between 19W-45W.

GULF OF MEXICO...

A stationary front extends from the Straits of Florida near
23N80W to the central Gulf of Mexico near 26N89W, than a warm
front to a 1015 mb low near 27N96W. Scattered moderate showers
are north of 27N west of 90W. Scatterometer data shows moderate
to locally fresh winds north of front. Gentle to moderate winds
prevail over the remainder of the basin.

Expect high pressure W of the front to weaken through early Thu
as the front dissipates. A low will develop over Texas Wed
night, then drag a new cold front across the Gulf as it moves to
the SE United States by Thu night.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

A tropical wave is within the basin. See the section above for
details.

The Eastern Pacific monsoon trough extends eastward along 09N
from Panama to northern Colombia. Scattered moderate convection
is noted along the trough axis.

Fresh to strong NE winds are forecast to pulse in the Windward
Passage overnight. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades will
continue through early Wed, then diminish by Thu night. A
tropical wave over the east-central Caribbean will move across
the basin through Wed and weaken. Gentle to moderate E to SE
winds will follow the wave.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A cold front extends from 32N56W to 25N69W, becoming stationary
at that point across the Bahamas to the Straits of Florida near
23N80W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the
cold front, and isolated showers are along the stationary front.
A surface trough is analyzed from 20N50W to 13N53W, and water
vapor imagery shows broad upper level diffluence is enhancing
convection east of the surface trough. Surface ridging prevails
across the remainder of the basin, with generally fair weather.

Expect the W Atlantic front to weaken through Wed, with winds
and seas gradually diminishing across the western Atlantic..

For additional information please visit
http://www.hurricanes.gov/marine

$$
Mundell

The National Weather Service in El Paso has issued a * Arroyo and Small Stream Flood Advisory for... Northwestern Grant County in south central New Mexico... * Until 130 AM MDT. * At 1135 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause arroyo and small stream flooding in Flood Advisory 2018-10-22T23:35:00-06:00 2018-10-23T01:30:00-06:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Minor Likely Grant 32.89,-108.54 32.7,-108.58 32.72,-108.82 32.92,-108.66 32.89,-108.54 FIPS6 035017 UGC NMC017 VTEC /O.NEW.KEPZ.FA.Y.0188.181023T0535Z-181023T0730Z/ /00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

...YUTU NOW A TYPHOON HEADING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN SELECT LOCATIONS WITHIN GUAM Tropical Storm Warning 2018-10-23T15:06:00+10:00 2018-10-24T00:00:00+10:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Severe Likely Rota FIPS6 066100 UGC GUZ002 VTEC /O.CON.PGUM.TR.W.4031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

...YUTU NOW A TYPHOON HEADING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN SELECT LOCATIONS WITHIN GUAM Tropical Storm Watch 2018-10-23T15:06:00+10:00 2018-10-24T00:00:00+10:00 Actual Alert Met Future Severe Possible Guam FIPS6 066010 UGC GUZ001 VTEC /O.CON.PGUM.TR.A.4031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

...YUTU NOW A TYPHOON HEADING TOWARDS THE MARIANAS... .NEW INFORMATION... NONE. .AREAS AFFECTED... THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES IMPORTANT INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS FOR PEOPLE IN SELECT LOCATIONS WITHIN GUAM Typhoon Warning 2018-10-23T15:06:00+10:00 2018-10-24T00:00:00+10:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Severe Likely Saipan; Tinian FIPS6 066110 066120 UGC GUZ003 GUZ004 VTEC /O.CON.PGUM.TY.W.4031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/

...The Flood Warning continues for the following streams in Kansas.. Big Blue River near Blue Rapids affecting Marshall County The Flood Warning continues for The Big Blue River near Blue Rapids. * until further notice. * At 10:15 PM Monday the stage was 29.0 feet. Flood Warning 2018-10-22T22:48:00-05:00 2018-10-23T06:48:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Moderate Likely Marshall 39.71,-96.66 39.68,-96.58 39.57,-96.55 39.57,-96.59 39.68,-96.69 39.71,-96.66 FIPS6 020117 UGC KSC117 VTEC /O.CON.KTOP.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BLRK1.1.ER.181008T0313Z.181009T1315Z.000000T0000Z.NO/

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .Tides are running around a foot and a half above normal. This will lead to tide levels between 2 and 2 and a half feet above mean sea level during the high tide cycles overnight tonight. With a higher astronomical tide expected Tuesday afternoon, tide Coastal Flood Advisory 2018-10-22T22:12:00-05:00 2018-10-24T05:00:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Minor Likely Aransas Islands; Calhoun Islands FIPS6 048007 048057 UGC TXZ345 TXZ447 VTEC /O.CON.KCRP.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-181024T1000Z/

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .Tides are running around a foot and a half above normal. This will lead to tide levels between 2 and 2 and a half feet above mean sea level during the high tide cycles overnight tonight. With a higher astronomical tide expected Tuesday afternoon, tide Coastal Flood Advisory 2018-10-22T22:12:00-05:00 2018-10-24T05:00:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Minor Likely Kleberg Islands; Nueces Islands FIPS6 048273 048355 UGC TXZ442 TXZ443 VTEC /O.CON.KCRP.CF.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-181024T1000Z/

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HIDALGO COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM MDT... At 839 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm just east of Antelope Wells, moving north at 20 mph. Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm. Special Weather Statement 2018-10-22T20:40:00-06:00 2018-10-22T21:45:00-06:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Minor Observed Lowlands of the Bootheel 31.6,-108.53 31.63,-108.21 31.33,-108.21 31.33,-108.55 31.6,-108.53 FIPS6 035023 UGC NMZ405 VTEC

.Updated flood information on the Mississippi River. River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. ...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice... The Flood Warning continues for The Mississippi River at Gladstone LD18. Flood Warning 2018-10-22T21:36:00-05:00 2018-10-23T13:35:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Moderate Likely Des Moines 40.94,-90.99 40.91,-90.94 40.84,-91.05 40.86,-91.1 40.94,-90.99 FIPS6 019057 UGC IAC057 VTEC /O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0116.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /GLDI2.3.ER.180924T2120Z.181014T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/

.Updated flood information on the Mississippi River. River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. ...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice... The Flood Warning continues for The Mississippi River at Burlington. Flood Warning 2018-10-22T21:36:00-05:00 2018-10-23T13:35:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Moderate Likely Des Moines; Lee 40.86,-91.1 40.84,-91.05 40.62,-91.08 40.61,-91.42 40.67,-91.18 40.86,-91.1 FIPS6 019057 019111 UGC IAC057 IAC111 VTEC /O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0117.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /BRLI4.3.ER.000000T0000Z.181014T1700Z.000000T0000Z.NO/

.Updated flood information on the Mississippi River. River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. ...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice... The Flood Warning continues for The Mississippi River at Keithsburg. Flood Warning 2018-10-22T21:36:00-05:00 2018-10-23T13:35:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Moderate Likely Des Moines; Louisa 41.17,-91.06 41.16,-90.97 41.08,-90.91 40.91,-90.94 40.94,-90.99 41.17,-91.06 FIPS6 019057 019115 UGC IAC057 IAC115 VTEC /O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0115.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /KHBI2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.181014T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/

.Updated flood information on the Mississippi River. River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. ...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice... The Flood Warning continues for The Mississippi River at New Boston LD17. Flood Warning 2018-10-22T21:36:00-05:00 2018-10-23T13:35:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Moderate Likely Louisa 41.24,-91.14 41.24,-91.08 41.16,-90.97 41.17,-91.06 41.19,-91.11 41.24,-91.14 FIPS6 019115 UGC IAC115 VTEC /O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /NBOI2.3.ER.000000T0000Z.181014T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/

.Updated flood information on the Mississippi River. River forecasts include past precipitation and forecast rainfall for the next 48 hours. ...Flood Warning remains in effect until further notice... The Flood Warning continues for The Mississippi River at Muscatine. Flood Warning 2018-10-22T21:36:00-05:00 2018-10-23T13:35:00-05:00 Actual Alert Met Expected Moderate Likely Louisa; Muscatine 41.41,-91.08 41.44,-91.03 41.4,-91.02 41.24,-91.08 41.24,-91.14 41.41,-91.08 FIPS6 019115 019139 UGC IAC115 IAC139 VTEC /O.CON.KDVN.FL.W.0126.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/ /MUSI4.3.ER.181007T1958Z.181013T2245Z.000000T0000Z.NO/